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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 29, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Porto

Benfica
1 - 0
Porto

di Maria (68')
Neves (59'), di Maria (69'), Jurasek (90+5'), Otamendi (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Carmo (34'), Taremi (35'), Conceicao (45+45'), Wendell (77'), Pedro da Silva Figueiredo Freitas (82'), Conceicao (90+5')
Cardoso (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-3 Benfica
Sunday, September 24 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-1 Gil Vicente
Saturday, September 23 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Benfica 2-1 Porto

 We certainly expect a tight encounter at the Estadio da Luz on Friday, with little to split the two teams who both boast plenty of quality all over the pitch. Although the visitors are a point better off at this stage, they are yet to put a statement victory on the board, while their hosts head in with more momentum on the back of five consecutive league wins, and we fancy As Aguias to go top on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Porto had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Porto win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawPorto
41.58% (0.393 0.39) 24.29% (-0.087 -0.09) 34.12% (-0.309 -0.31)
Both teams to score 59.87% (0.235 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.26% (0.341 0.34)42.73% (-0.342 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.86% (0.339 0.34)65.13% (-0.34 -0.34)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.3% (0.328 0.33)20.69% (-0.329 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.71% (0.51300000000001 0.51)53.29% (-0.512 -0.51)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.49% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)24.51% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.03% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)58.97% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 41.58%
    Porto 34.12%
    Draw 24.29%
BenficaDrawPorto
2-1 @ 8.85% (0.039 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.99% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.29% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.65% (0.067 0.07)
3-0 @ 3.31% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.044 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.3% (0.033 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 41.58%
1-1 @ 11.23% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.22% (0.025 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.07% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.29%
1-2 @ 7.9% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-1 @ 7.13% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-2 @ 5.01% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.7% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.35% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 34.12%

How you voted: Benfica vs Porto

Benfica
71.4%
Draw
13.0%
Porto
15.6%
77
Head to Head
Aug 9, 2023 8.45pm
Final
Benfica
2-0
Porto
Di Maria (61'), Musa (68')
Ristic (15'), Mario (16'), Kokcu (27'), Bah (43'), Neves (49'), Chiquinho (84'), Vlachodimos (87')

Loader (29'), Pepe (33'), Pepe (45+1'), Eustaquio (51'), Sanusi (55')
Pepe (90'), Conceicao (90+8')
> Preview
Apr 7, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 27
Benfica
1-2
Porto
Costa (10' og.)
Uribe (45'), Taremi (54')
> Match Report
Oct 21, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 10
Porto
0-1
Benfica
Silva (72')
> Preview
May 7, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 33
Benfica
0-1
Porto

Dias (16'), Ramos (24'), Nunez (53'), Lazaro (62'), Almeida (71'), Otamendi (71'), Mario (82'), Weigl (84'), Yaremchuk (90'), Gilberto (90+6')
Sanusi (90+4')
Grujic (30'), Pepe (40'), Taremi (79'), Costa (90+1')
> Preview
Dec 30, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 16
Porto
3-1
Benfica
Vieira (34'), Pepe (37'), Taremi (69')
Cardoso (30'), Pepe (51'), Martinez (90+1')
Yaremchuk (46')
Almeida (8'), Vertonghen (25'), Goncalves (90+3'), Gilberto (90+5')
Almeida (49')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon31263289296081
2Benfica31244371254676
3Porto31196657263163
4Braga31195764442062
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes31186746321460
6MoreirenseMoreirense31137113234-246
7AroucaArouca311361253421145
8FamalicaoFamalicao31812113339-636
9Casa Pia3198143344-1135
10Estoril PraiaEstoril3196164652-633
11Rio AveRio Ave3151793339-632
12Gil Vicente3188153950-1132
13SC FarenseFarense3087153944-531
14BoavistaBoavista3179153557-2230
15Estrela Amadora30611133246-1429
16PortimonensePortimonense3177173466-3228
17ChavesChaves3158183165-3423
18Vizela31410173063-3322
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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