MX23RW : Saturday, April 27 12:54:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 23, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Famalicao logo

Arouca
3 - 2
Famalicao

Sylla (33'), Cristo (45+1'), Mujica (64')
Jason (45'), Mujica (54')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Cadiz (12'), Sa (56')
Youssouf (38'), Vinicios (44'), Mihaj (61'), Riccieli (75'), Cadiz (86'), Aranda (90+9')
Luis Rodriguez (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-0 Arouca
Sunday, February 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 2-1 Rio Ave
Friday, February 16 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 2-1 Famalicao

While Famalicao did manage to claim a much-needed morale-boosting victory last weekend, they have struggled on the road, winning just twice in 11 away games this term. Arouca, on the other hand, have won three of their last four on home soil, and we feel they will be able to edge this one as well. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.

Result
AroucaDrawFamalicao
32.26% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 26.62% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 41.12% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 51.43% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.59% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)53.41% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.06% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)74.94% (0.044999999999987 0.04)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.13% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)30.87% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.84% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)67.16% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)25.6% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)60.48% (0.055 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 32.26%
    Famalicao 41.11%
    Draw 26.62%
AroucaDrawFamalicao
1-0 @ 9.29% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.44% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5.46% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 32.26%
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 7.9% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 10.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.92% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.33% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.33% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 41.11%

How you voted: Arouca vs Famalicao

Arouca
78.6%
Draw
14.3%
Famalicao
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 6
Famalicao
1-0
Arouca
Otavio (28')
Otavio (16'), Riccieli (39'), Aranda (45+1'), Aguirregabiria (51')
Riccieli (57')

Jason (20'), Galovic (64')
Mujica (77'), Ramos (90+5')
Apr 3, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 26
Famalicao
0-1
Arouca
Sylla (90+3' pen.)
Oct 10, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 9
Arouca
4-1
Famalicao
Bukia (30'), Sylla (52'), Antony (58'), Dabbagh (84')
Jan 31, 2022 9.15pm
Gameweek 20
Famalicao
0-0
Arouca
Alex (75'), Marin (90+6')
Basso (37'), Bukia (54'), Esgaio (59')
Aug 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 3
Arouca
2-1
Famalicao
Basso (66' pen.), Miguel Pereira Da Silva (89')
Manuel da Silva Moreira (57'), Miguel Pereira Da Silva (77'), Correa dos Santos (90+2'), Filipe Alves Araujo (90+5')
Rodrigues (23')
Jose Gomes Oliveira Tavares (31'), Batubinsika (47'), Miguel Lapa Ricardo (79'), Assuncao (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon30262287276080
2Benfica30234368244473
3Porto30195655243162
4Braga30195663412262
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes30176745321357
6AroucaArouca311361253421145
7MoreirenseMoreirense30127113034-443
8FamalicaoFamalicao30812103338-536
9Gil Vicente3188153950-1132
10Casa Pia3088143043-1332
11SC FarenseFarense3087153944-531
12Rio AveRio Ave3051693238-631
13BoavistaBoavista3079143556-2130
14Estoril PraiaEstoril3086164552-730
15Estrela Amadora30611133246-1429
16PortimonensePortimonense3077163464-3028
17ChavesChaves3058173062-3223
18Vizela3049172962-3321


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