Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Braga had a probability of 37.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Braga in this match.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Braga |
37.85% | 24.58% ( -0) | 37.58% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 59.33% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.36% ( 0.02) | 43.64% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.97% ( 0.02) | 66.04% ( -0.02) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.09% ( 0.01) | 22.91% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.34% ( 0.01) | 56.67% ( -0.01) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.95% ( 0.01) | 23.05% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.13% ( 0.02) | 56.87% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Braga |
2-1 @ 8.41% 1-0 @ 7.78% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.73% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.13% 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.82% 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 37.85% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.57% | 1-2 @ 8.38% 0-1 @ 7.75% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.69% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 37.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 68 | -37 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
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