Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 51.29%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Vizela win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Braga in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Braga.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Braga |
25.35% ( -0.02) | 23.36% ( -0.01) | 51.29% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 57.5% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.62% ( 0.03) | 43.38% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.22% ( 0.03) | 65.78% ( -0.02) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.26% ( 0) | 30.74% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33% ( 0) | 67% ( 0) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.02% ( 0.02) | 16.98% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.92% ( 0.04) | 47.08% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Braga |
2-1 @ 6.44% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.63% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 25.35% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.35% | 1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.26% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.21% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.72% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.85% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.54% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.15% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 4.02% Total : 51.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 68 | -37 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
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