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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
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Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
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Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 14, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Braga

Porto
2 - 0
Braga

Cardoso (12'), Evanilson (49' pen.)
Pepe (25'), Gonzalez (62'), Conceicao (66'), Conceicao (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Horta (26'), Carvalho (45+2'), Oliveira (79'), Djalo (82'), Fonte (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 0-4 Porto
Tuesday, January 9 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Braga

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 3-2 Braga
Wednesday, January 10 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Porto 3-1 Braga

 Still licking their wounds from the cup exit, Braga will head into the weekend looking to pick up a morale-boosting result. However, Porto have been near impenetrable at home in recent weeks and we fancy them to extend their dominance in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 58.52%. A win for Braga had a probability of 20.86% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.17%) and 1-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (5.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawBraga
58.52% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 20.61% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 20.86% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 61.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.3% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)35.7% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.23% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)57.77% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.97% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)12.03% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.49% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)37.51% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)30.29% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.53% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)66.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Porto 58.52%
    Braga 20.86%
    Draw 20.61%
PortoDrawBraga
2-1 @ 9.76%
2-0 @ 8.17% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.72% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 6.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 5.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 4.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 3.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 3.05% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 2.18% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.55% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.29% (-0.002 -0)
5-2 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 58.52%
1-1 @ 9.22% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-2 @ 5.83%
0-0 @ 3.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.64% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.61%
1-2 @ 5.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 4.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 2.6% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.19%
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 20.86%

How you voted: Porto vs Braga

Porto
87.1%
Draw
6.5%
Braga
6.5%
31
Head to Head
Jun 4, 2023 5.15pm
Final
Braga
0-2
Porto

Horta (29'), Borja (35'), Gomez (66'), Bruma (85')
Niakate (79')
Horta (53' og.), Otavio (81')
Otavio (25'), Galeno (60'), Conceicao (66'), Uribe (72'), Taremi (76'), Pepe (85')
Wendell (62')
> Match Report
Mar 19, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 25
Braga
0-0
Porto
> Preview
Sep 30, 2022 9.15pm
Gameweek 8
Porto
4-1
Braga
Evanilson (32'), Eustaquio (34'), Pepe (63'), Galeno (90+6')
Pepe (55' og.)
> Preview
Apr 25, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 31
Braga
1-0
Porto
Horta (54')
Oliveira (33'), Silva (90+2')

Pepe (76'), Galeno (90+2')
> Preview
Dec 12, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 14
Porto
1-0
Braga
Diaz (22')
Mario (19'), Conceicao (45+2'), Otavio (64'), Vitinha (89')

Oliveira (38'), Silva (45+4'), Rodrigues (76'), Piazon (79'), Moura (86')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon31263289296081
2Benfica31244371254676
3Porto31196657263163
4Braga31195764442062
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes31186746321460
6MoreirenseMoreirense31137113234-246
7AroucaArouca311361253421145
8FamalicaoFamalicao31812113339-636
9Casa Pia3198143344-1135
10Estoril PraiaEstoril3196164652-633
11Rio AveRio Ave3151793339-632
12Gil Vicente3188153950-1132
13SC FarenseFarense3087153944-531
14BoavistaBoavista3179153557-2230
15Estrela Amadora30611133246-1429
16PortimonensePortimonense3177173466-3228
17ChavesChaves3158183165-3423
18Vizela31410173063-3322
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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