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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 8, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
vs.
River Plate

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Nacional and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerro 1-2 Nacional
Sunday, April 28 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Next Game: Nacional vs. Racing
Saturday, May 4 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Libertad 1-2 River Plate
Thursday, April 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a River Plate win with a probability of 46.03%. A win for Nacional has a probability of 28.77% and a draw has a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Nacional win is 1-0 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.96%).

Result
NacionalDrawRiver Plate
28.77% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 25.2% (0.034000000000002 0.03) 46.03% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Both teams to score 54.27% (-0.165 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.04% (-0.194 -0.19)48.96% (0.189 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.95% (-0.175 -0.18)71.05% (0.17100000000001 0.17)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.94% (-0.16 -0.16)31.06% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.62% (-0.188 -0.19)67.37% (0.18300000000001 0.18)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.71% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)21.29% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.78% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)54.22% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 28.77%
    River Plate 46.02%
    Draw 25.2%
NacionalDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 7.73% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.99% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.52% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.73% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.76% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 28.77%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.051 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 10.22% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 9.25%
0-2 @ 7.91% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.77% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.85% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.58% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 46.02%

Who will win Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Nacional and River Plate?

Nacional
Draw
River Plate
Nacional
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
River Plate
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Apr 12, 2024 1am
Group Stage
River Plate
2-0
Nacional
Echeverri (15'), Colidio (90+3')

Polenta (57'), Castro (60'), Baez (87')
Dec 18, 2020 12.30am
Quarter-Finals
Nacional
2-6
River Plate
Cougo (45+2'), Rodriguez (55')
Rochet (18')
Carrascal (28'), De La Cruz (45'), Zuculini (50'), Borre (67', 74', 80')
Zuculini (27')
Dec 11, 2020 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal35255585285780
2Manchester CityMan City34247382325079
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs341861067541360
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8Chelsea34149116559651
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
10Bournemouth35139135260-848
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3579194262-2026
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316


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