Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 48.91%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 25.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Arouca |
48.91% ( -0.01) | 25.95% ( -0) | 25.13% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.12% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.67% ( 0.01) | 54.33% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.28% ( 0.01) | 75.71% ( -0.01) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.76% | 22.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.33% ( 0) | 55.67% ( -0) |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.16% ( 0.02) | 36.83% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.38% ( 0.02) | 73.62% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Arouca |
1-0 @ 12.31% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.26% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.25% 3-0 @ 4.64% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.63% 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.74% Other @ 3.03% Total : 48.91% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 8.19% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0) Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 8.18% 1-2 @ 6.14% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.09% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 25.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
10 | Casa Pia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
11 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |