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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
May 7, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Avaya Stadium
Los Angeles FC

Earthquakes
2 - 1
Los Angeles

Espinoza (8', 83' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bouanga (30')
Bogusz (29'), Maldonado (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austin 2-2 Earthquakes
Sunday, April 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 0-1 Los Angeles FC

San Jose Earthquakes have struggled in recent matches and now face an LAFC side who are coming off the back of reaching the CONCACAF Champions League final. The visitors will be fully confident of extending their unbeaten league run to nine matches, and we see them doing just that at Levi's Stadium on Saturday.

How to watch

You can watch San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawLos Angeles FC
38.66% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04) 25.69% (-0.023 -0.02) 35.65% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 55.22% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.12% (0.109 0.11)48.88% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.02% (0.099 0.1)70.97% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.15% (0.028000000000006 0.03)24.84% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.56% (0.039000000000001 0.04)59.44% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.47% (0.088999999999999 0.09)26.52% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.27% (0.116 0.12)61.72% (-0.115 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 38.66%
    Los Angeles FC 35.65%
    Draw 25.69%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawLos Angeles FC
1-0 @ 9.18% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 6.39% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.94% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.97% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 38.66%
1-1 @ 12.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.63% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 8.75% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.08% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.57% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 35.65%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Los Angeles

San Jose Earthquakes
20.0%
Draw
32.0%
Los Angeles FC
48.0%
25
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 3am
Earthquakes
2-1
Los Angeles
Kikanovic (14'), Cowell (77')
Thompson (30'), Cardoso (31'), Kikanovic (60'), Remedi (74')
Opoku (54')
Ibeagha (42'), Acosta (67'), Sanchez (67'), Cifuentes (86'), Arango (90+6')
Sanchez (79')
May 28, 2022 11pm
Los Angeles
3-2
Earthquakes
Arango (8' pen.), Hollingshead (13'), Rodriguez (47')
Rodriguez (19'), Musovski (76'), Acosta (77'), Crisostomo (90+4')
Ebobisse (16', 31')
Espinoza (17')
Oct 16, 2021 8.30pm
gameweek 39
Los Angeles
3-1
Earthquakes
Musovski (3'), Arango (28' pen., 88')
Murillo (81'), Arango (86'), Farfan (90+3')
Fierro (61')
Marcinkowski (28'), Lopez (40'), Judson (90+9')
Sep 26, 2021 3am
gameweek 35
Earthquakes
2-0
Los Angeles
Kikanovic (3'), Lopez (47')
Cardoso (31'), Espinoza (34'), Abecasis (64'), Lopez (86')

Crisostomo (39'), Cifuentes (75'), Edwards (90+5')
Aug 9, 2021 12am
gameweek 24
Earthquakes
2-1
Los Angeles
Cardoso (11'), Lopez (28')
Cowell (39'), Ebobisse (76')
Yueill (39' og.)
Murillo (10'), Rossi (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake127322091124
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125432119219
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331812618
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342119218
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
11Dallas113261216-411
12Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
13Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810


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