Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 57.56%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for DC United had a probability of 18.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for New York Red Bulls in this match.
Result | ||
New York Red Bulls | Draw | DC United |
57.56% ( 0.01) | 24.4% ( -0) | 18.03% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 44.47% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.28% ( -0) | 55.72% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.14% ( -0) | 76.86% ( -0) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.76% ( 0) | 19.24% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.04% ( 0.01) | 50.95% ( -0.01) |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.06% ( -0.02) | 44.94% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.12% ( -0.01) | 80.88% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
New York Red Bulls | Draw | DC United |
1-0 @ 14.25% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.74% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.45% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.66% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.13% 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0) Other @ 3.72% Total : 57.56% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.65% 2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0) Other @ 0.6% Total : 24.39% | 0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.56% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.77% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 1.58% Total : 18.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 17 |
7 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 16 |
8 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 16 |
9 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 11 |
11 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11 |
12 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |