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New York Red Bulls
Major League Soccer
Aug 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Red Bull Arena
DC United

NY Red Bulls
1 - 0
DC United

Tolkin (88')
Yearwood (44'), Reyes (78'), Duncan (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Durkin (36'), Williams (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salt Lake 3-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, July 16 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 4-0 DC United
Sunday, July 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York Red Bulls 1-0 DC United

The experience of Davis on the back end should make DC a tougher unit to penetrate, but getting rid of Fountas and Benteke struggling to find his form could leave DC rather thin in attack. New York's chance creators seem to be getting healthy, and that comes at a critical juncture in the campaign, and we believe their presence along with the Red Bulls solid backline will be enough to earn them three points this weekend.

How to watch

You can watch New York Red Bulls vs. DC United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 57.56%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for DC United had a probability of 18.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for New York Red Bulls in this match.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawDC United
57.56% (0.014000000000003 0.01) 24.4% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 18.03% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 44.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)55.72% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.14% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)76.86% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)19.24% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)50.95% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.06% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)44.94% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.12% (-0.012 -0.01)80.88% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 57.56%
    DC United 18.03%
    Draw 24.39%
New York Red BullsDrawDC United
1-0 @ 14.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.45% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 5.16% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 2.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.13%
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 57.56%
1-1 @ 11.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.65%
2-2 @ 3.76% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 24.39%
0-1 @ 6.92% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-2 @ 4.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 18.03%

How you voted: NY Red Bulls vs DC United

New York Red Bulls
55.6%
Draw
11.1%
DC United
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 12.30am
May 29, 2022 12am
Oct 28, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 42
DC United
1-0
NY Red Bulls
Paredes (9')
Moreno (36'), Najar (64')
Sep 12, 2021 12am
Gameweek 30
NY Red Bulls
1-1
DC United
Kamara (44' pen.)
Jul 26, 2021 1am
Gameweek 19
DC United
1-0
NY Red Bulls
Kamara (27')
Alfaro (12'), Brillant (87'), Hamid (90+6')

Gomes (47'), Klimala (69'), Edwards (80'), Casseres Jr (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati12732159624
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125521917220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621211115
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461120-910
15New England RevolutionNew England11218821-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Houston DynamoHouston115241010017
7St Louis City113711614216
8Austin FCAustin124441414016
9Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551820-211
11Dallas113261115-411
12Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
13Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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