Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 50.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 24.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.
Result | ||
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Atlanta United |
50.83% ( 1.91) | 24.7% ( -0.64) | 24.47% ( -1.27) |
Both teams to score 52.24% ( 0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.09% ( 1.56) | 49.91% ( -1.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.1% ( 1.38) | 71.9% ( -1.38) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.36% ( 1.41) | 19.64% ( -1.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.4% ( 2.26) | 51.6% ( -2.26) |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65% ( -0.24) | 34.99% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.26% ( -0.25) | 71.74% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Atlanta United |
1-0 @ 11.18% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.31) 3-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.33) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.21) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.21) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.9% Total : 50.82% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( -0.31) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.69% | 0-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.52) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.3) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.06% Total : 24.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |