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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Jun 22, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
New York City

Atlanta
2 - 2
NY City

Wolff (11'), Firmino (90+5')
Cobb (22'), Gutman (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pereira (1', 56')
Cufre (70'), Pellegrini (81'), Rodriguez (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 3-1 DC United
Sunday, June 11 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 1-1 Columbus Crew
Saturday, June 17 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 2-0 New York City FC

Morale is at an all-time low in New York City right now, and though there are some talented playmakers on that team, no one has stepped up and shown they can bury a clear-cut scoring opportunity. Atlanta may be a little susceptible defensively, but they have had no trouble finding the back of the net with 11 players notching at least one MLS goal in 2023, and taking on a team as fragile as NYCFC this week, we expect them to pounce on the opportunities presented to them.

How to watch

You can watch Atlanta United vs. New York City FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 55.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 21.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a New York City FC win it was 1-2 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawNew York City FC
55.99% (1.816 1.82) 22.49% (-0.48 -0.48) 21.52% (-1.337 -1.34)
Both teams to score 55.68% (-0.233 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.41% (0.561 0.56)43.59% (-0.562 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.02% (0.54799999999999 0.55)65.98% (-0.547 -0.55)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.59% (0.81699999999999 0.82)15.41% (-0.818 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.77% (1.508 1.51)44.23% (-1.509 -1.51)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.82% (-0.92 -0.92)34.18% (0.91999999999999 0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.13% (-0.997 -1)70.87% (0.997 1)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 55.99%
    New York City FC 21.52%
    Draw 22.49%
Atlanta UnitedDrawNew York City FC
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.064 0.06)
1-0 @ 9.85% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.21% (0.287 0.29)
3-1 @ 6.17% (0.21 0.21)
3-0 @ 5.74% (0.333 0.33)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.88% (0.175 0.18)
4-0 @ 2.69% (0.225 0.23)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.057 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.08% (0.093 0.09)
5-0 @ 1% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 55.99%
1-1 @ 10.57% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.27% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.49%
1-2 @ 5.68% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-1 @ 5.65% (-0.287 -0.29)
0-2 @ 3.04% (-0.235 -0.24)
1-3 @ 2.03% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 21.52%

How you voted: Atlanta vs NY City

Atlanta United
77.3%
Draw
9.1%
New York City FC
13.6%
22
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2023 12.30am
Oct 9, 2022 7.30pm
Jul 3, 2022 10pm
NY City
2-2
Atlanta
Castellanos (37', 58')
Chanot (18'), Rodriguez (24'), Magno (53'), Morales (71')
Martinez (56'), Dwyer (86')
McFadden (16'), Araujo (47')
Nov 21, 2021 8pm
NY City
2-0
Atlanta
Castellanos (49'), Callens (53')

Franco (43'), Moreno (81')
Franco (90+3')
Oct 21, 2021 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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