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New York Red Bulls
Major League Soccer
May 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Red Bull Arena, Harrison
Montreal Impact

NY Red Bulls
2 - 1
Montreal

Reyes (23'), Burke (38')
Casseres Jr (45')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Waterman (29')
Camacho (16'), Duke (32'), Herrera (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 0-0 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-0 Montreal
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York Red Bulls 2-0 CF Montreal

The Red Bulls appear to be back to their old selves defensively, and although they still have work to do in the attacking third, we expect them to get a big boost from the return of numerous players who were missing earlier this week. It has been a Jekyll and Hyde season for Le CFM, and they could find it difficult to penetrate a Red Bulls team who look reinvigorated defensively since changing coaches.

How to watch

You can watch New York Red Bulls vs. CF Montreal and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawCF Montreal
52.32% (0.0020000000000024 0) 25.88% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 21.8% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 45.85% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.19% (0.0019999999999953 0)56.81% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.26% (0.0019999999999989 0)77.74% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.21% (0.0010000000000048 0)21.79% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)54.99% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.62% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)41.38% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.11%77.89% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 52.31%
    CF Montreal 21.8%
    Draw 25.87%
New York Red BullsDrawCF Montreal
1-0 @ 13.73%
2-0 @ 10.46%
2-1 @ 9.24%
3-0 @ 5.32%
3-1 @ 4.69% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.07%
4-0 @ 2.03%
4-1 @ 1.79%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 52.31%
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 9.02% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.08%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 25.87%
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 5.35%
0-2 @ 3.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 1.57%
2-3 @ 1.2%
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 21.8%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 12.30am
Montreal
2-0
NY Red Bulls
Reyes (25' og.), Choiniere (90+2')
Corbo (27'), Iliadis (53'), Choiniere (59')
Iliadis (65')

Edelman (2'), Duncan (62'), Reyes (71')
Sep 1, 2022 12.30am
Apr 9, 2022 9pm
NY Red Bulls
1-2
Montreal
Fernandez (14')
Long (63'), Edwards (68'), Casseres Jr (87')
Camacho (71'), Quioto (81')
Wanyama (8'), Kone (45'), Waterman (62'), Mihailovic (83')
Oct 30, 2021 9pm
gameweek 43
NY Red Bulls
1-0
Montreal
Gomes (90+1')
Reyes (81')
Aug 15, 2021 1am
gameweek 25
Montreal
2-1
NY Red Bulls
Sunusi (71'), Wanyama (90+8' pen.)
Brault-Guillard (90+12')
Klimala (45+5' pen.)
Tarek (53'), Gomes (83'), Yearwood (89'), Duncan (90+5'), Miguel Coronel (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1484235201528
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati138321610627
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls136522419523
4New York City FCNY City136251615120
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136251413120
6Toronto136161619-319
7Columbus Crew124621612418
8DC United134542023-317
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia123542221114
10Nashville SCNashville123541619-314
11Orlando City123451420-613
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta123361615112
13CF MontrealMontreal123361626-1012
14Chicago Fire132471223-1110
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374222111125
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd116321913621
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy135622521421
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin135441615119
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston125251112-117
9St Louis City123721817116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133461516-113
11San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes134182228-613
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
13Dallas113261216-411
14Portland TimbersPortland132472127-610


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