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New York Red Bulls
Major League Soccer
May 7, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Red Bull Arena, Harrison
Philadelphia Union

NY Red Bulls
0 - 1
Philadelphia


Reyes (25'), Struber (26'), Burke (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gazdag (31' pen.)
Flach (36'), Sullivan (45+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, April 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-0 Philadelphia
Wednesday, May 3 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League

We said: New York Red Bulls 1-1 Philadelphia Union

New York Red Bulls have developed a habit of drawing far too many games, while Philadelphia Union have been particularly disappointing on their travels this season, still yet to pick up an away win in any competition. With both sides struggling to put a solid run of form together, the most likely outcome on Saturday is a draw.

How to watch

You can watch New York Red Bulls vs. Philadelphia Union and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 49.46%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 23.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawPhiladelphia Union
49.46% (2.679 2.68) 26.97% (-0.711 -0.71) 23.58% (-1.969 -1.97)
Both teams to score 44.87% (0.139 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.89% (1.079 1.08)59.1% (-1.079 -1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.45% (0.825 0.82)79.55% (-0.82599999999999 -0.83)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.96% (1.759 1.76)24.04% (-1.759 -1.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.7% (2.447 2.45)58.3% (-2.448 -2.45)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.07% (-1.211 -1.21)40.93% (1.21 1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.5% (-1.101 -1.1)77.5% (1.1 1.1)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 49.45%
    Philadelphia Union 23.58%
    Draw 26.96%
New York Red BullsDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 14.02% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 10% (0.592 0.59)
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.247 0.25)
3-0 @ 4.75% (0.503 0.5)
3-1 @ 4.24% (0.322 0.32)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.084 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.69% (0.254 0.25)
4-1 @ 1.51% (0.184 0.18)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 49.45%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-0 @ 9.84% (-0.402 -0.4)
2-2 @ 3.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 26.96%
0-1 @ 8.79% (-0.672 -0.67)
1-2 @ 5.6% (-0.322 -0.32)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.442 -0.44)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.155 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.175 -0.18)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 23.58%

Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 12am
NY Red Bulls
0-2
Philadelphia

Yearwood (90+4')
Yearwood (90+4')
Uhre (48'), Gazdag (75')
Glesnes (8'), Burke (32'), Elliott (36'), Gazdag (83')
May 15, 2022 12.30am
Philadelphia
1-1
NY Red Bulls
Gazdag (47')
Carranza (52'), Andres Martinez (65'), McGlynn (76'), Bedoya (85')
Luquinhas (66')
Nealis (25'), Fernandez (53'), Tolkin (90+4')
Nealis (55')
Nov 20, 2021 7.30pm
Sep 30, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 36
NY Red Bulls
1-1
Philadelphia
Fernandez (37')
Duncan (52'), Reyes (65')
Santos (17')
Andres Martinez (45'), Wagner (85'), Blake (86'), Elliott (88')
Jul 9, 2021 1am
gameweek 15
NY Red Bulls
1-1
Philadelphia
Klimala (60' pen.)
Yearwood (45+2'), Duncan (90+7')
Santos (85')
Mbaizo (42'), Monteiro (90+7')
Matthew (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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