Major League Soccer
May 18, 2023 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.
Result |
Toronto | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
37.98% ( -1.11) | 26.69% ( 0.41) | 35.33% ( 0.7) |
Both teams to score 51.85% ( -1.24) |
46.84% ( -1.61) | 53.16% ( 1.61) |
25.27% ( -1.39) | 74.73% ( 1.38) |
72.8% ( -1.37) | 27.2% ( 1.37) |