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Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
Apr 16, 2023 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Atlanta United

Toronto
2 - 2
Atlanta

Laryea (43'), Servania (90+4')
Bernardeschi (63'), Osorio (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Giakoumakis (4'), Chol (76')
Chol (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 0-0 Toronto
Sunday, April 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 1-1 Atlanta
Sunday, April 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 0-1 Atlanta United

Since winning the World Cup with Argentina last December, Almada has been a force to the reckoned with in MLS, and we expect he will give the Toronto backline fits with his ability to find space and pick out their attacking players. As solid as the Reds have been defensively, they do not have a difference-maker like Almada in the middle of the field, and their finished product is still missing.

How to watch

You can watch Toronto vs. Atlanta United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
TorontoDrawAtlanta United
44.88% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02) 24.04% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 31.08% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 59.56% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.38% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)42.62% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.97% (0.009999999999998 0.01)65.02% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.8% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)19.19% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)50.88% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.71% (0.015000000000001 0.02)26.28% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.59% (0.018000000000001 0.02)61.4% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 44.88%
    Atlanta United 31.08%
    Draw 24.03%
TorontoDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 8.33% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.87% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 5.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.78% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 3.38%
4-1 @ 2.09%
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 44.88%
1-1 @ 11.12%
2-2 @ 6.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.03%
1-2 @ 7.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 6.74% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.01% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 31.08%

Head to Head
Mar 5, 2023 12.30am
Sep 11, 2022 12.30am
Atlanta
4-2
Toronto
Sanchez (47', 62', 88'), Almada (74')
Hernandez (39')
Akinola (52'), Bernardeschi (67' pen.)
Jun 26, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
2-1
Atlanta
Osorio (8'), Priso-Mbongue (78')
Nelson (28'), Salcedo (52')
Araujo (57')
Moreno (54'), Araujo (70')
Oct 30, 2021 11pm
Atlanta
1-1
Toronto
Araujo (15')
Barco (56')
Perruzza (88')
DeLeon (17'), Lawrence (69')
Oct 17, 2021 12.30am
Toronto
0-2
Atlanta

Achara (24'), Delgado (90+2')
Auro (83')
Araujo (45+2'), Moreno (90+7')
Rossetto (16'), Walkes (90+8')
Barco (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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