Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 20.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.
Result | ||
Toronto | Draw | Inter Miami |
56.54% ( 0.67) | 23.32% ( 0.12) | 20.13% ( -0.8) |
Both teams to score 50.92% ( -1.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.11% ( -1.51) | 48.89% ( 1.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.02% ( -1.38) | 70.98% ( 1.38) |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.91% ( -0.31) | 17.09% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.72% ( -0.54) | 47.27% ( 0.53) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.42% ( -1.68) | 38.58% ( 1.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.67% ( -1.64) | 75.32% ( 1.63) |
Score Analysis |
Toronto | Draw | Inter Miami |
1-0 @ 11.64% ( 0.59) 2-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.94% Total : 56.53% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.97% Total : 23.32% | 0-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.47% Total : 20.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |