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Major League Soccer
Mar 12, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Yankee Stadium
Inter Miami

NY City
1 - 0
Inter Miami

McVey (36' og.)
Cufre (32'), Ilencic (53'), Pellegrini (70'), Gray (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Negri (6'), Mota (47'), Yedlin (51'), Krivtsov (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-1 NY City
Sunday, March 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-0 Philadelphia
Sunday, March 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-1 Inter Miami

Bringing back two veterans familiar with the New York way of playing should improve the Pigeons' across the board, while we believe Talles Magno could be due for a big match. The Herons have got the job done, but they have still allowed some quality scoring opportunities, while playing on the road is not their strong suit.

How to watch

You can watch New York City FC vs. Inter Miami and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 61.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 17.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawInter Miami
61.39% (-0.337 -0.34) 20.62% (0.155 0.16) 17.99% (0.184 0.18)
Both teams to score 56.06% (-0.16999999999999 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.78% (-0.4 -0.4)40.21% (0.402 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.41% (-0.412 -0.41)62.58% (0.415 0.41)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.37% (-0.21900000000001 -0.22)12.63% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.24% (-0.456 -0.46)38.76% (0.458 0.46)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.16% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)35.83% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.39% (-0.035 -0.04)72.61% (0.036999999999992 0.04)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 61.39%
    Inter Miami 17.99%
    Draw 20.62%
New York City FCDrawInter Miami
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.69% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.36% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.86% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.68% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.55% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.46% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.47% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.43% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 61.39%
1-1 @ 9.61% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.53% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.62%
1-2 @ 4.93% (0.04 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.64% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.38% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.69% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 17.99%

How you voted: NY City vs Inter Miami

New York City FC
46.2%
Draw
15.4%
Inter Miami
38.5%
13
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 12am
First Round
NY City
3-0
Inter Miami
Pereira (63'), Moralez (69'), Heber (90+2')

Lassiter (58')
Aug 14, 2022 1am
Inter Miami
3-2
NY City
Pozuelo (39', 84'), Lassiter (63')
Gregore (32'), Taylor (48'), Pozuelo (84')
Magno (34'), Andrade (45+2')
Morales (41'), Amundsen (55'), Chanot (77'), Rodriguez (86')
Jul 24, 2022 12am
Oct 30, 2021 6.30pm
Inter Miami
1-3
NY City
Figal (56')
Shea (29'), Gregore (45+4'), Gonzalez Pirez (81')
Castellanos (33', 60'), Magno (83')
Callens (52'), Medina (57'), Deila (76')
Aug 15, 2021 1am
NY City
2-0
Inter Miami
Castellanos (21', 45+1' pen.)
Meineche (10'), Parks (66')

Gregore (41'), Leerdam (45+1'), Gibbs (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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