Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 61.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 17.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | Inter Miami |
61.39% ( -0.34) | 20.62% ( 0.16) | 17.99% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 56.06% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.78% ( -0.4) | 40.21% ( 0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.41% ( -0.41) | 62.58% ( 0.41) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.37% ( -0.22) | 12.63% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.24% ( -0.46) | 38.76% ( 0.46) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.16% ( -0.03) | 35.83% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.39% ( -0.04) | 72.61% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | Inter Miami |
2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.62% Total : 61.39% | 1-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.62% | 1-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 17.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |