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Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
Oct 6, 2022 at 1am UK
New Fort Lauderdale Stadium
Orlando City

Inter Miami
4 - 1
Orlando City

Campana (1'), Higuain (38', 52' pen.), Lassiter (56')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kara (71')
Carlos (59'), Urso (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 0-1 Inter Miami
Saturday, October 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 2-1 Orlando City
Sunday, October 2 at 6pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 1-0 Orlando City

The marquee players on Miami are finally coming to the forefront, namely Higuain, who is currently in the best form of his Major League Soccer career. Orlando are missing a quality attacker who can make that difference, and they appear to be damaged psychologically of late, which is a bad sign this late into the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawOrlando City
39.52% (-0.197 -0.2) 25.97% (0.093 0.09) 34.51% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Both teams to score 54.11% (-0.3 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.77% (-0.391 -0.39)50.23% (0.392 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.81% (-0.347 -0.35)72.19% (0.348 0.35)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (-0.285 -0.28)25% (0.285 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.34% (-0.394 -0.39)59.65% (0.395 0.4)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.15% (-0.125 -0.13)27.85% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.54% (-0.161 -0.16)63.45% (0.16200000000001 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 39.52%
    Orlando City 34.51%
    Draw 25.96%
Inter MiamiDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 9.65% (0.074 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.09% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 39.52%
1-1 @ 12.33% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.96% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 8.9% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 7.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.69% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.42% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 34.51%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs Orlando City

Inter Miami
61.9%
Draw
14.3%
Orlando City
23.8%
21
Head to Head
Jul 10, 2022 3.24am
Orlando City
1-0
Inter Miami
Lowe (90+2' og.)
Smith (45+3')

Duke (52')
Aug 28, 2021 1.30am
Aug 5, 2021 1am
Jun 26, 2021 1am
Inter Miami
1-2
Orlando City
Higuain (67')
Ulloa (62'), Matuidi (71'), Gonzalez Pirez (79')
Mueller (73'), Nani (80')
Pereyra (10'), Urso (62'), Mueller (79')
Oct 24, 2020 8.30pm
Inter Miami
2-1
Orlando City
Jansson (45' og.), Gonzalez Pirez (89')
Gonzalez Pirez (7'), Pizarro (23'), Reyes (79'), Agudelo (90+4'), McCarthy (90+6')
Dike (12')
Urso (62'), Ruan (86'), Nani (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1484235201528
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati138321610627
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls136522419523
4New York City FCNY City136251615120
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136251413120
6Toronto136161619-319
7Columbus Crew124621612418
8DC United134542023-317
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia123542221114
10Nashville SCNashville123541619-314
11Orlando City123451420-613
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta123361615112
13CF MontrealMontreal123361626-1012
14Chicago Fire132471223-1110
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374222111125
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd116321913621
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy135622521421
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin135441615119
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston125251112-117
9St Louis City123721817116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133461516-113
11Portland TimbersPortland133462527-213
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
13Dallas113261216-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes133192232-1010


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