Major League Soccer
Oct 31, 2022 at 12am UK
PPL Park
Philadelphia3 - 1NY City
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-0 Cincinnati
Friday, October 21 at 1am in MLS Playoffs
Friday, October 21 at 1am in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Montreal 1-3 NY City
Sunday, October 23 at 6pm in MLS Playoffs
Sunday, October 23 at 6pm in MLS Playoffs
We said: Philadelphia Union 1-1 New York City FC (Philadelphia advances on penalties)
Both sides are in fine form defensively, and this game could go either way as they are both well-drilled and disciplined with two goalkeepers who have proven they can steal a game. We will give the Union a slight edge because they have home-field advantage, plus they might be a little more motivated given the curveball thrown at them before the East Final last season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 58.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 19.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | New York City FC |
58.62% ( 2.6) | 22.09% ( -0.53) | 19.29% ( -2.08) |
| Both teams to score 53.45% ( -1.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
