Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for DC United had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest DC United win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
DC United | Draw | Toronto |
34.24% ( -0.5) | 24.77% ( -0.07) | 40.99% ( 0.57) |
Both teams to score 58.19% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.07% ( 0.22) | 44.93% ( -0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.71% ( 0.21) | 67.29% ( -0.21) |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.52% ( -0.19) | 25.48% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.68% ( -0.26) | 60.32% ( 0.26) |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.09% ( 0.38) | 21.91% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.82% ( 0.56) | 55.18% ( -0.56) |
Score Analysis |
DC United | Draw | Toronto |
2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 34.24% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.76% | 1-2 @ 8.8% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.45% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.45% Total : 40.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |