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DC United
Major League Soccer
Oct 9, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
RFK Stadium
FC Cincinnati

DC United
2 - 5
Cincinnati

Morrison (26'), Fletcher (46')
Birnbaum (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-4)
Acosta (6'), Brenner (8', 24', 37'), Vazquez (53')
Moreno (30'), Barreal (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 1-0 DC United
Sunday, October 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-3 Chicago Fire
Sunday, October 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: DC United 1-2 FC Cincinnati

The pressure of the game will make this a tense affair for FC Cincinnati, but they should be able to get past a DC United team that has not won in five games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for DC United had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest DC United win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
DC UnitedDrawFC Cincinnati
36.78% (0.106 0.11) 25.06% (0.026 0.03) 38.16% (-0.133 -0.13)
Both teams to score 57.55% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.08% (-0.112 -0.11)45.92% (0.111 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.77% (-0.106 -0.11)68.23% (0.105 0.11)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)24.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.03% (0.009999999999998 0.01)58.97% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.24% (-0.121 -0.12)23.76% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.09% (-0.173 -0.17)57.91% (0.173 0.17)
Score Analysis
    DC United 36.78%
    FC Cincinnati 38.16%
    Draw 25.05%
DC UnitedDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.19% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.76% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.88% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.7% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 36.78%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.82% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.05%
1-2 @ 8.46% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.01% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.05% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.88% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 38.16%

How you voted: DC United vs Cincinnati

DC United
5.3%
Draw
26.3%
FC Cincinnati
68.4%
19
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 11pm
Cincinnati
0-1
DC United

Blackett (90+4')
Kamara (90+8' pen.)
Smith (90+1')
Nyeman (80')
Sep 26, 2021 12.30am
DC United
4-2
Cincinnati
Arriola (7', 41'), Birnbaum (21'), Robertha (72')
Hamid (34')
Vazquez (80'), Acosta (84')
Aug 1, 2021 12.30am
Cincinnati
0-0
DC United

Gyau (36'), Acosta (60'), Hagglund (64')

Moreno (15'), Mora (41'), Reyna (72')
Nyeman (52'), Mora (90+2')
Oct 19, 2020 12.30am
Aug 22, 2020 12.30am
Cincinnati
0-0
DC United

Deplagne (13'), Stanko (37')

Canouse (35'), Flores (88'), Abu (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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