Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 53.83%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 23.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%).
Result | ||
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Chicago Fire |
53.83% ( 0.32) | 22.51% ( -0.14) | 23.65% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 58.48% ( 0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.79% ( 0.41) | 41.2% ( -0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.4% ( 0.41) | 63.59% ( -0.42) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.7% ( 0.25) | 15.3% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.98% ( 0.47) | 44.02% ( -0.48) |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.05% ( 0.06) | 30.95% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.75% ( 0.07) | 67.25% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Chicago Fire |
2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.86% Total : 53.83% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.51% | 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.82% Total : 23.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |