Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Reims had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Troyes | Draw | Reims |
41.12% ( -0.11) | 28.28% ( 0.05) | 30.6% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 45.99% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.97% ( -0.16) | 60.03% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.74% ( -0.12) | 80.26% ( 0.13) |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.3% ( -0.14) | 28.7% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.48% ( -0.17) | 64.52% ( 0.18) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.5% ( -0.04) | 35.5% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.74% ( -0.04) | 72.26% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Troyes | Draw | Reims |
1-0 @ 12.71% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.65% Total : 41.11% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.27% | 0-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.06% Total : 30.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |