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Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3
Aug 19, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade de Gerland
Troyes

Lyon
4 - 1
Troyes

Lacazette (3'), Tagliafico (46'), Tete (49', 75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tardieu (39' pen.)
Kouame (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lyon 2-1 Ajaccio
Friday, August 5 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 0-3 Toulouse
Sunday, August 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lyon 3-1 Troyes

Lyon are certainly prone to the odd defensive error, and Troyes should fancy their chances of experiencing some joy in front of goal with Lopes stuck on the naughty step. However, a consolation strike will likely be the only thing the travelling support have to cheer, as Bosz's abundance of goal-getters should propel Les Gones to a straightforward second win of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 72.55%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 10.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.36%) and 3-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawTroyes
72.55% (-0.255 -0.25) 16.88% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 10.56% (0.165 0.16)
Both teams to score 48.69% (0.305 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.32% (0.073999999999998 0.07)39.68% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.97% (0.078000000000003 0.08)62.03% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.43% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)9.57% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.98% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)32.01% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.84% (0.361 0.36)46.15% (-0.36 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.16% (0.279 0.28)81.84% (-0.277 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 72.55%
    Troyes 10.56%
    Draw 16.88%
LyonDrawTroyes
2-0 @ 12.15% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-0 @ 10.36% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 9.51% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.36% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.58% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-1 @ 4.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.032 0.03)
5-0 @ 2.62% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.03% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.67% (0.016 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.03% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 72.55%
1-1 @ 8.01% (0.038999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.42% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.64% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 16.88%
0-1 @ 3.41% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.1% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.32% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 0.94% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 10.56%

How you voted: Lyon vs Troyes

Lyon
88.2%
Draw
7.6%
Troyes
4.2%
119
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2022 4.05pm
Troyes
0-1
Lyon

Rodrigues (45+3'), Giraudon (65')
Dembele (33' pen.)
Gusto (86')
Sep 22, 2021 8pm
Lyon
3-1
Troyes
Shaqiri (48'), Palmieri (72'), Paqueta (87')
Paqueta (90+2')
Chavalerin (45')
Azamoum (15'), Giraudon (28'), Biancone (62')
May 6, 2018 3.30pm
Lyon
3-0
Troyes
Traore (28', 35'), Cornet (88')
Tousart (4'), Mendy (78')

Azamoum (20'), Hyun-jun (81')
Oct 22, 2017 4pm
Troyes
0-5
Lyon

Grandsir (19'), Dingome (59')
Herelle (69')
Traore (21'), Depay (49', 66', 70'), Mariano (90')
Morel (16'), Da Silva (33')
Jan 9, 2016 4pm
Lyon
4-1
Troyes
Lacazette (18'), Ghezzal (72'), Ferri (81'), Beauvue (93')
Umtiti (61')
Camus (67')
Nivet (22')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Lorient3478194366-2329
17Metz3485213558-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425


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