MX23RW : Thursday, May 16 12:09:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
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Lyon
Marseille
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Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7
Sep 9, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
Troyes

Lens
1 - 0
Troyes

Danso (39')
Poreba (40'), Cabot (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tardieu (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reims 1-1 Lens
Sunday, September 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 1-1 Rennes
Sunday, September 4 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 1-0 Troyes

Troyes will aim to frustrate Lens, who may have to remain patient in order to gain a narrow victory. With Lens continuing on an upwards trajectory under Haise, more sides are likely to defend deeper against them, which is something that they must learn to overcome if they wish to remain towards the top of the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 64.72%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 15.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.

Result
LensDrawTroyes
64.72% (0.179 0.18) 20.22% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09) 15.06% (-0.089 -0.09)
Both teams to score 50.88% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.13% (0.2 0.2)43.87% (-0.197 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.74% (0.196 0.2)66.25% (-0.193 -0.19)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.2% (0.113 0.11)12.8% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.89% (0.229 0.23)39.11% (-0.226 -0.23)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.34% (0.0010000000000048 0)41.65% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.86%78.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Lens 64.71%
    Troyes 15.06%
    Draw 20.22%
LensDrawTroyes
2-0 @ 11.26%
1-0 @ 10.96% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 7.72% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.76% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.97% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.48% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.63% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.43% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 64.71%
1-1 @ 9.6% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.33% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 20.22%
0-1 @ 4.67% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-2 @ 4.2% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.04% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 15.06%

How you voted: Lens vs Troyes

Lens
82.7%
Draw
13.5%
Troyes
3.8%
104
Head to Head
May 14, 2022 8pm
Troyes
1-3
Lens
Biancone (14')
Kabore (9')
Danso (42'), Kalimuendo (45'), Clauss (71')
Medina (19'), Frankowski (78')
Nov 5, 2021 8pm
Lens
4-0
Troyes
Kalimuendo (14'), Said (30'), Clauss (35'), Frankowski (60')
Ganago (69')

Batlles (15'), Rodrigues (74')
Feb 4, 2020 8.05pm
Lens
1-0
Troyes
Jean (65')
Haidara (48'), Michelin (90')

Kouame (19'), El Hajjam (45')
Kouame (36')
Aug 24, 2019 2pm
Troyes
2-0
Lens
Kouyate (45'), Pintor (83')
Souare (16'), Giraudon (18'), Tardieu (61'), Pintor (93')

Sotoca (46')
Aug 13, 2019 8.05pm
Troyes
1-2
Lens
Kouyate (10')
Salmier (34'), Mambo (74'), Giraudon (77'), Kouyate (89')
Sene (75'), Banza (84')
Perez (31'), Teka (39')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG332110279334673
2MonacoMonaco33197764422264
3Lille331610750321858
4Brest331610750341658
5Nice33159938271154
6Lens33148114335850
7Lyon33155134754-750
8Marseille3312111050401047
9Rennes331210115244846
10Reims33128134046-644
11Toulouse331110124243-143
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier331011124146-540
13StrasbourgStrasbourg33109143748-1139
14NantesNantes3396183051-2133
15Le HavreLe Havre33711153343-1032
16Metz3385203556-2129
17Lorient3368193866-2826
RClermont33510182655-2925


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