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Ligue 1
Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Jan 1, 2023 at 2pm UK
La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
AJ Auxerre

Nantes
1 - 0
Auxerre

Coco (74')
Moutoussamy (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mensah (21'), Camara (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 0-0 Nantes
Wednesday, December 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Auxerre

All competitions
Last Game: Auxerre 2-3 Monaco
Wednesday, December 28 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nantes 1-0 Auxerre

 As Auxerre do not travel well, it seems that Nantes are in prime position to claim maximum points from this bottom-four contest, which could be a tense encounter given both teams' current status. Therefore, a single goal could win it for the home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nantes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nantes.

Result
NantesDrawAuxerre
48.15% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 23.98% (0.099 0.1) 27.88% (-0.119 -0.12)
Both teams to score 57.69% (-0.433 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.83% (-0.529 -0.53)44.18% (0.53599999999999 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.45% (-0.517 -0.52)66.55% (0.523 0.52)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.53% (-0.193 -0.19)18.48% (0.2 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.33% (-0.33 -0.33)49.68% (0.338 0.34)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.76% (-0.35899999999999 -0.36)29.24% (0.365 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.81% (-0.443 -0.44)65.2% (0.45099999999999 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 48.15%
    Auxerre 27.88%
    Draw 23.97%
NantesDrawAuxerre
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 9.12% (0.154 0.15)
2-0 @ 7.7% (0.081 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.34% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 48.15%
1-1 @ 11.21% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.4% (0.125 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.97%
1-2 @ 6.9% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.64% (0.087 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.08% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 27.88%

How you voted: Nantes vs Auxerre

Nantes
71.4%
Draw
16.3%
Auxerre
12.2%
49
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2013 7.55pm
Fourth Round
Nantes
1-0
Auxerre
Aristeguieta (75')
Deaux (81')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco32187762422061
3Brest32169749331657
4Lille321510748311755
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens32147114234849
7Lyon32145134654-847
8Rennes32129115143845
9Marseille31111194738944
10Montpellier HSCMontpellier321011114144-340
11Toulouse321010123942-340
12Reims31117133845-740
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3299143547-1236
14NantesNantes3296172949-2033
15Le HavreLe Havre32711143342-932
16Metz3285193454-2029
17Lorient3268183763-2626
18Clermont32510172654-2825
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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