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Le Havre
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AJ Auxerre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13
Oct 30, 2022 at 12pm UK
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps
AC Ajaccio

Auxerre
1 - 0
Ajaccio

Sakhi (8')
Jubal (23')
Niang (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vidal (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reims 2-1 Auxerre
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-3 PSG
Friday, October 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Auxerre 0-1 Ajaccio

Considering the last three meetings between these two sides have all ended goalless, a closely-fought contest could be on the cards this weekend. However, Ajaccio appear to have turned a corner away from home and we can see them snatching all three points with a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 36.73%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.59%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (11.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Auxerre in this match.

Result
AuxerreDrawAjaccio
36.73% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 28.95% (0.0030000000000001 0) 34.31% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 44.96% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.3% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)61.7% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.48% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)81.51% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.85% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)32.15% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.37% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)68.63% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.26% (0.0010000000000048 0)33.74% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)70.39% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Auxerre 36.72%
    Ajaccio 34.31%
    Draw 28.94%
AuxerreDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 12.3%
2-1 @ 7.59% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 6.98% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 36.72%
1-1 @ 13.37%
0-0 @ 10.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.94%
0-1 @ 11.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 6.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 34.31%

How you voted: Auxerre vs Ajaccio

Auxerre
39.4%
Draw
22.5%
Ajaccio
38.0%
71
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2022 6pm
Ajaccio
0-0
Auxerre

Vidal (48'), Marchetti (60')
Marchetti (70')

Joly (30'), Leon (35'), Jubal (72')
Aug 7, 2021 6pm
Auxerre
0-0
Ajaccio

Toure (60'), Sinayoko (68'), Hein (90+7')

Youssouf (40'), Botue (78'), Gonzalez (83'), Courtet (90')
Feb 5, 2021 7pm
Oct 3, 2020 6pm
Auxerre
5-1
Ajaccio
Le Bihan (7', 37'), Dugimont (23' pen., 41'), Fortune (84' pen.)
Toure (33'), Arcus (80')
Elisor (30')
Moussiti-Oko (14')
Feb 7, 2020 7pm
Ajaccio
2-3
Auxerre
El Idrissy (11'), Coeff (31' og.)
Coutadeur (45')
Sakhi (4', 34'), Le Bihan (18')
Van Boto (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco32187762422061
3Brest32169749331657
4Lille321510748311755
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens32147114234849
7Lyon32145134654-847
8Rennes32129115143845
9Marseille31111194738944
10Montpellier HSCMontpellier321011114144-340
11Toulouse321010123942-340
12Reims31117133845-740
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3299143547-1236
14NantesNantes3296172949-2033
15Le HavreLe Havre32711143342-932
16Metz3285193454-2029
17Lorient3268183763-2626
18Clermont32510172654-2825


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