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Le Havre
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Nantes
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Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Nov 13, 2022 at 2pm UK
La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
AC Ajaccio

Nantes
2 - 2
Ajaccio

Blas (70'), Simon (89')
Blas (37'), Castelletto (45+1'), Girotto (62'), Kombouare (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Belaili (57' pen.), Hamouma (66')
Kone (35'), Nouri (45+1'), Gonzalez (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reims 1-0 Nantes
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 4-2 Strasbourg
Saturday, November 5 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nantes 2-1 Ajaccio

Following their impressive win last weekend, we are expecting Ajaccio to come into this one with confidence and to at least get on the scoresheet in an important relegation battle. Nonetheless, given they have suffered just one defeat at home this season, Nantes should have too much for their newly-promoted visitors as they record just their third win of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
NantesDrawAjaccio
39.61% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 28.16% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02) 32.22%
Both teams to score 46.83% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.77% (0.061999999999998 0.06)59.23% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.35% (0.047000000000001 0.05)79.65% (-0.044999999999987 -0.04)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.83% (0.040999999999997 0.04)29.17% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.89% (0.049999999999997 0.05)65.11% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.11% (0.033000000000001 0.03)33.89% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.44% (0.036000000000001 0.04)70.56% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 39.61%
    Ajaccio 32.22%
    Draw 28.16%
NantesDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 12.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.12% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.08% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 39.61%
1-1 @ 13.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.89% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.39% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.16%
0-1 @ 10.69% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.13% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 32.22%

How you voted: Nantes vs Ajaccio

Nantes
76.6%
Draw
17.0%
Ajaccio
6.4%
47
Head to Head
Mar 8, 2014 7pm
Nantes
2-2
Ajaccio
Gakpe (8'), Djordjevic (75')
Mostefa (5'), Diarra (92')
Faty (45'), Goncalves (62'), Nadeau (77')
Oct 19, 2013 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco32187762422061
3Brest32169749331657
4Lille321510748311755
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens32147114234849
7Lyon32145134654-847
8Rennes32129115143845
9Marseille31111194738944
10Montpellier HSCMontpellier321011114144-340
11Toulouse321010123942-340
12Reims31117133845-740
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3299143547-1236
14NantesNantes3296172949-2033
15Le HavreLe Havre32711143342-932
16Metz3285193454-2029
17Lorient3268183763-2626
18Clermont32510172654-2825


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