Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Ajaccio |
39.61% ( 0.02) | 28.16% ( -0.02) | 32.22% |
Both teams to score 46.83% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.77% ( 0.06) | 59.23% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.35% ( 0.05) | 79.65% ( -0.04) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.83% ( 0.04) | 29.17% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.89% ( 0.05) | 65.11% ( -0.05) |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.11% ( 0.03) | 33.89% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.44% ( 0.04) | 70.56% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Ajaccio |
1-0 @ 12.18% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.5% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.61% Total : 39.61% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.16% | 0-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 32.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |