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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Troyes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Dec 28, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
Nantes

Troyes
0 - 0
Nantes

FT

Castelletto (15'), Centonze (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brest 2-1 Troyes
Sunday, November 13 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 2-2 Ajaccio
Sunday, November 13 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Troyes 1-1 Nantes

These are two evenly matched teams with just a single point separating them in the table, and without their most lethal attacking threat, we expect the new Troyes boss will have a more conservative approach in this encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 27.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
TroyesDrawNantes
45.86% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 26.16% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 27.98% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.75% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.7% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)53.29% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.15% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)74.84% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.81% (0.013000000000005 0.01)23.19% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.91% (0.018000000000001 0.02)57.08% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.08% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)33.92% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.41% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)70.59% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Troyes 45.85%
    Nantes 27.98%
    Draw 26.15%
TroyesDrawNantes
1-0 @ 11.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.09% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.39%
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 45.85%
1-1 @ 12.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.87% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 8.51% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 6.72% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.42% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.66% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 27.98%

How you voted: Troyes vs Nantes

Troyes
35.2%
Draw
42.3%
Nantes
22.5%
71
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 8pm
Oct 3, 2021 2pm
Nantes
2-0
Troyes
Girotto (58'), Blas (69' pen.)
Castelletto (45+1'), Chirivella (90+1')

Rodrigues (66'), Chadli (83')
Mar 10, 2018 7pm
Aug 19, 2017 7pm
Jan 30, 2016 7pm
Troyes
0-1
Nantes

Corentin (66')
Gillet (41')
Moimbe (64'), Riou (66'), Gillet (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco32187762422061
3Brest32169749331657
4Lille321510748311755
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens32147114234849
7Lyon32145134654-847
8Rennes32129115143845
9Marseille31111194738944
10Montpellier HSCMontpellier321011114144-340
11Toulouse321010123942-340
12Reims31117133845-740
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3299143547-1236
14NantesNantes3296172949-2033
15Le HavreLe Havre32711143342-932
16Metz3285193454-2029
17Lorient3268183763-2626
18Clermont32510172654-2825


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