Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 62.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 14.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.32%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cruz Azul in this match.