Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 44.85%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 26.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.21%) and 1-2 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Juarez win it was 1-0 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cruz Azul in this match.