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Premier League | Gameweek 26
Feb 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Villa Park
Nottingham Forest logo

Aston Villa
4 - 2
Nott'm Forest

Watkins (4'), Luiz (29', 39'), Bailey (61')
Moreno (57')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Niakhate (45+5'), Gibbs-White (48')
Murillo (15'), Felipe (45')

The Match

Match Report

A brace from Douglas Luiz in between goals from Ollie Watkins and Leon Bailey saw Aston Villa run out 4-2 winners against Nottingham Forest at Villa Park this afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fulham 1-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aston Villa win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw has a probability of 19.9% and a win for Nottingham Forest has a probability of 18.05%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.04%) and 1-0 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it is 1-2 (4.94%).

Result
Aston VillaDrawNottingham Forest
62.04% (0.876 0.88) 19.9% (-0.229 -0.23) 18.05% (-0.647 -0.65)
Both teams to score 58.79% (-0.436 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)36.7% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.13% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)58.87% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.61% (0.238 0.24)11.38% (-0.238 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.88% (0.511 0.51)36.11% (-0.512 -0.51)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.34% (-0.67400000000001 -0.67)33.65% (0.67400000000001 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.69% (-0.739 -0.74)70.3% (0.739 0.74)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 62.04%
    Nottingham Forest 18.05%
    Draw 19.9%
Aston VillaDrawNottingham Forest
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 9.04% (0.167 0.17)
1-0 @ 8.32% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 7.14% (0.07 0.07)
3-0 @ 6.55% (0.182 0.18)
3-2 @ 3.89% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.88% (0.074 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.56% (0.132 0.13)
4-2 @ 2.11% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-1 @ 1.69% (0.048 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.55% (0.071 0.07)
5-2 @ 0.92% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 62.04%
1-1 @ 9.06% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.36% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-0 @ 3.83% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 19.9%
1-2 @ 4.94% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-1 @ 4.17% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.27% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.79% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 18.05%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Nott'm Forest

Aston Villa
78.7%
Draw
11.9%
Nottingham Forest
9.5%
253
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 11
Nott'm Forest
2-0
Aston Villa
Aina (5'), Mangala (47')
Danilo (88')

Kamara (64')
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Oct 10, 2022 8pm
Mar 13, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Nott'm Forest
1-3
Aston Villa
Colback (3')
Ansarifard (29'), Milosevic (61'), Colback (86')
McGinn (7', 15'), Hause (61')
Hause (28'), Taylor (65'), Kodjia (96')
Nov 28, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Aston Villa
5-5
Nott'm Forest
Abraham (11', 14', 36' pen., 71'), El Ghazi (75')
Bolasie (20'), Hutton (69'), El Ghazi (87')
Grabban (3', 82'), Carvalho (6'), Cash (22'), Lolley (51')
Yacob (65'), Darikwa (69'), Colback (78')
Figueiredo (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
12.15am
Texans
@
Jets
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City97202091123
2Liverpool97111751222
3Arsenal95311710718
4Aston Villa95311611518
5Chelsea95221911817
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton94411612416
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest9441117416
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
9Brentford94141818013
10Fulham93331212012
11Bournemouth93331111012
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle9333910-112
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham93241316-311
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
15Leicester CityLeicester92341317-49
16Everton92341016-69
17Crystal Palace9135611-56
18Ipswich TownIpswich9045920-114
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves90271225-132
20Southampton9018619-131


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