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Premier League | Gameweek 11
Nov 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
The City Ground
Aston Villa logo

Nott'm Forest
2 - 0
Aston Villa

Aina (5'), Mangala (47')
Danilo (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kamara (64')

The Match

Match Report

Nottingham Forest end a six-game winless run in the Premier League with a 2-0 victory over an off-colour Aston Villa at the City Ground.

Team News

Nottingham Forest make three changes for Sunday's Premier League game versus Aston Villa at the City Ground.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 3-0 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawAston Villa
32.35% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02) 25.72% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05) 41.92% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 54.36% (0.162 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.35% (0.211 0.21)49.65% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.33% (0.188 0.19)71.67% (-0.19099999999999 -0.19)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.07% (0.094999999999999 0.09)28.93% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.19% (0.119 0.12)64.81% (-0.122 -0.12)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.49% (0.12299999999999 0.12)23.51% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.46% (0.17899999999999 0.18)57.54% (-0.182 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 32.35%
    Aston Villa 41.92%
    Draw 25.72%
Nottingham ForestDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 8.43% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.57% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 5.23% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 32.35%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.8% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 9.85% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.84% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.13% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.27% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.44% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.65% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.55% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.25% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 41.92%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Aston Villa

Nottingham Forest
13.7%
Draw
10.4%
Aston Villa
75.8%
182
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Oct 10, 2022 8pm
Mar 13, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Nott'm Forest
1-3
Aston Villa
Colback (3')
Ansarifard (29'), Milosevic (61'), Colback (86')
McGinn (7', 15'), Hause (61')
Hause (28'), Taylor (65'), Kodjia (96')
Nov 28, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Aston Villa
5-5
Nott'm Forest
Abraham (11', 14', 36' pen., 71'), El Ghazi (75')
Bolasie (20'), Hutton (69'), El Ghazi (87')
Grabban (3', 82'), Carvalho (6'), Cash (22'), Lolley (51')
Yacob (65'), Darikwa (69'), Colback (78')
Figueiredo (68')
Jan 13, 2018 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal35255585285780
2Manchester CityMan City34247382325079
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs33186967521560
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
9Chelsea33139116359448
10Bournemouth35139135260-848
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3579194262-2026
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316


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