Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 53.4%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 21.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Mansfield Town win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.