Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.