Swindon

1 - 3

Gillingham

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 36.93%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.