Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.