Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 45.78%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.