Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 74.79%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Longford Town had a probability of 9.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 3-0 (10.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a Longford Town win it was 0-1 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Dundalk in this match.