Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Drogheda United win with a probability of 46.97%. A win for Longford Town had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Drogheda United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Longford Town win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Drogheda United would win this match.