Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 50.75%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Granada had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Celta Vigo in this match.