Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Sevilla |
30.47% | 28.15% | 41.38% |
Both teams to score 46.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.36% | 59.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.04% | 79.96% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.61% | 35.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.85% | 72.15% |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.63% | 28.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.89% | 64.11% |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Sevilla |
1-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 6.82% 2-0 @ 5.42% 3-1 @ 2.36% 3-0 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.08% Total : 30.46% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 10.03% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.14% | 0-1 @ 12.64% 1-2 @ 8.28% 0-2 @ 7.97% 1-3 @ 3.48% 0-3 @ 3.35% 2-3 @ 1.81% 1-4 @ 1.1% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.7% Total : 41.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 35 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 78 | 22 | 56 | 90 |
2 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Villarreal | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 48 |
9 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |