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Europa League | Second Qualifying Round
Sep 17, 2020 at 5pm UK
Bakcell Arena
Galatasaray

Neftchi Baku
1 - 3
Galatasaray

Mbodj (46')
Ibara (18'), Alasgarov (35'), Kane (69'), Krivotsyuk (86'), Bougrine (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Diagne (19', 63'), Luyindama (48')
Feghouli (54'), Saracchi (90+2')
Coverage of the Europa League Second Qualifying Round clash between Neftchi Baku and Galatasaray.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neftchi Baku win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 37.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Neftchi Baku win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Neftchi BakuDrawGalatasaray
37.86%24.66%37.48%
Both teams to score 59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.93%44.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.55%66.45%
Neftchi Baku Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.91%23.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.06%56.94%
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.71%23.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.77%57.23%
Score Analysis
    Neftchi Baku 37.86%
    Galatasaray 37.48%
    Draw 24.66%
Neftchi BakuDrawGalatasaray
2-1 @ 8.42%
1-0 @ 7.88%
2-0 @ 5.78%
3-1 @ 4.11%
3-2 @ 3%
3-0 @ 2.82%
4-1 @ 1.51%
4-2 @ 1.1%
4-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 37.86%
1-1 @ 11.48%
2-2 @ 6.13%
0-0 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.66%
1-2 @ 8.37%
0-1 @ 7.84%
0-2 @ 5.71%
1-3 @ 4.07%
2-3 @ 2.98%
0-3 @ 2.77%
1-4 @ 1.48%
2-4 @ 1.09%
0-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 37.48%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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1Manchester CityMan City97202091123
2Liverpool97111751222
3Arsenal95311710718
4Aston Villa95311611518
5Chelsea95221911817
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton94411612416
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest9441117416
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
9Brentford94141818013
10Fulham93331212012
11Bournemouth93331111012
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle9333910-112
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham93241316-311
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
15Leicester CityLeicester92341317-49
16Everton92341016-69
17Crystal Palace9135611-56
18Ipswich TownIpswich9045920-114
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves90271225-132
20Southampton9018619-131


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