Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 49.15%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Willem II win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sparta Rotterdam in this match.
