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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
41.96% | 27.16% | 30.87% |
Both teams to score 49.3% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.1% | 55.9% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.99% | 77.01% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.71% | 26.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.58% | 61.41% |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.88% | 33.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.28% | 69.72% |
Score Analysis |
Willem II | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
1-0 @ 11.63% 2-1 @ 8.59% 2-0 @ 7.77% 3-1 @ 3.82% 3-0 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.15% Total : 41.96% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.71% 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.16% | 0-1 @ 9.62% 1-2 @ 7.1% 0-2 @ 5.32% 1-3 @ 2.62% 0-3 @ 1.96% 2-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.51% Total : 30.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |