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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 48.87%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
48.87% | 24.67% | 26.46% |
Both teams to score 54.22% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.79% | 48.21% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.63% | 70.37% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.23% | 19.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.19% | 51.82% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.57% | 32.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.05% | 68.95% |
Score Analysis |
Willem II | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
1-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 9.49% 2-0 @ 8.42% 3-1 @ 5.13% 3-0 @ 4.55% 3-2 @ 2.89% 4-1 @ 2.08% 4-0 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.91% Total : 48.87% | 1-1 @ 11.7% 0-0 @ 6.41% 2-2 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.67% | 0-1 @ 7.22% 1-2 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 4.07% 1-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 2.01% 0-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.58% Total : 26.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |