Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.06%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
