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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Vitesse has a probability of 34.19% and a draw has a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 (5.41%) and 0-1 (5.33%). The likeliest Vitesse win is 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.89%).
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | Ajax |
34.19% | 21.85% | 43.95% |
Both teams to score 69.15% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.36% | 30.63% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.04% | 51.95% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.16% | 18.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.72% | 50.28% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.19% | 14.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.91% | 43.08% |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 7.42% 1-0 @ 4.66% 3-1 @ 4.13% 3-2 @ 3.95% 2-0 @ 3.89% 3-0 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.72% 4-2 @ 1.65% 4-3 @ 1.05% 4-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.67% Total : 34.19% | 1-1 @ 8.89% 2-2 @ 7.09% 0-0 @ 2.79% 3-3 @ 2.51% Other @ 0.57% Total : 21.85% | 1-2 @ 8.49% 1-3 @ 5.41% 0-1 @ 5.33% 0-2 @ 5.09% 2-3 @ 4.51% 0-3 @ 3.24% 1-4 @ 2.58% 2-4 @ 2.16% 0-4 @ 1.55% 3-4 @ 1.2% 1-5 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.41% Total : 43.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 103 | 17 | 86 | 84 |
2 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 24 | 56 | 75 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 58 |
5 | Ajax | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 65 | 58 | 7 | 49 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 46 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 42 |
10 | Heerenveen | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 36 |
11 | PEC Zwolle | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 59 | -16 | 35 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 33 |
14 | Heracles | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 25 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 75 | -45 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 25 | 70 | -45 | 2 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |