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Ipswich logo
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Portman Road Stadium

Ipswich
2 - 0
Arsenal U21s

Ball (3'), Ladapo (85')
Edwards (21'), Edmundson (71'), Ball (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Ipswich Town and Arsenal Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Ipswich Town 2-0 Arsenal Under-21s

Having already got a win under their belts, Arsenal's youngsters will fancy their chances of causing a surprise at Ipswich. However, we cannot ignore the form of the Tractors Boys, who we feel will prevail from this contest in relatively comfortable fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 67.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 14.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 1-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for an Arsenal Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Ipswich Town in this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawArsenal Under-21s
67.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 18.17% (0.0030000000000001 0) 14.07% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Both teams to score 55.55% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.52% (0.0020000000000024 0)36.47% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)58.62% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.12% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)9.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.27% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)32.73%
Arsenal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.64% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)38.36% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.88% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)75.11% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 67.75%
    Arsenal Under-21s 14.07%
    Draw 18.17%
Ipswich TownDrawArsenal Under-21s
2-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 9.73%
1-0 @ 8.77% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 7.83% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 7.51%
4-0 @ 4.54% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-1 @ 4.35%
3-2 @ 3.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.08%
5-1 @ 2.01%
5-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 67.75%
1-1 @ 8.4%
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.79%
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 18.17%
1-2 @ 4.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 3.63%
0-2 @ 1.74%
2-3 @ 1.49% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 14.07%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Arsenal U21s

Ipswich Town
72.2%
Draw
13.9%
Arsenal Under-21s
13.9%
36
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2021 7.45pm
Ipswich
2-2
Arsenal U21s
Arsenal U21s win 4-3 on penalties
Jackson (31', 43')
Donacien (90+1')
Vincent-Young (68' og.), Balogun (71')
Patino (34'), Rekik (83')
Sep 8, 2020 7.45pm
Ipswich
1-2
Arsenal U21s
Nolan (26')
Nolan (90+2')
Lewis (45+1'), Balogun (54')
Akinola (79')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
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1Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
2Arsenal36265588286083
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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