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Ipswich logo
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Northampton Town

Ipswich
6 - 0
Northampton

Harness (11', 16'), Leigh (26'), Burgess (58'), Edmundson (83'), Ladapo (90+1')
Ball (44')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Ipswich Town and Northampton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ipswich Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Ipswich 2-2 Barnsley
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One

Northampton Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Doncaster
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawNorthampton Town
45.17% (0.545 0.55) 26.05% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 28.77% (-0.549 -0.55)
Both teams to score 51.57% (-0.324 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.53% (-0.267 -0.27)52.47% (0.259 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.86% (-0.229 -0.23)74.14% (0.221 0.22)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.84% (0.14099999999999 0.14)23.16% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.96% (0.209 0.21)57.04% (-0.215 -0.21)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.12% (-0.54900000000001 -0.55)32.88% (0.544 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.55% (-0.615 -0.62)69.45% (0.60799999999999 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 45.16%
    Northampton Town 28.77%
    Draw 26.05%
Ipswich TownDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 11.13% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.06% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.15% (0.153 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.42% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.97% (0.092 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 45.16%
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 7.61% (0.078 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.05%
0-1 @ 8.47% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.89% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-2 @ 4.71% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.56% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 28.77%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Northampton

Ipswich Town
100%
Draw
0.0%
Northampton Town
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
Northampton
3-0
Ipswich
Kioso (8', 32'), Watson (84')
Rose (90')
Feb 16, 2021 7pm
Ipswich
0-0
Northampton

Woolfenden (45'), Judge (90'), Downes (90+4')
Downes (90+4')

Morris (28'), McWilliams (48'), Mills (66')
rhs 2.0
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